Another episode of the show! We talk to Tom Wassell about the Mariners, I preview Logan Morrison’s season, Jordon Grangruth talks Sounders, and we look at the NFL. Listen below!
Hey guys! Last week, the show was pre-empted, so I had to do it online. This time, I had a workshop for credit that I had to do taking out the first hour of my show. But, I was still able to get in the studio and record something. I talk Seahawks, then Wassell comes on to talk a bit of Seahawks and Mariners.
Hello friends! Today was supposed to be the return of West Coast Bias on KUGR.org, but we were pre-empted by (an awful) Cougar Basketball team. So, I just recorded the show on my computer, minus the interview with 710 ESPN’s Tom Wassell. I’m attempting to reschedule that interview and put it up on the blog later this week, if possible. In tonight’s show, I go over the new guys on the Mariners, relive my experience at the NFC Championship game, and play you Steve Raible’s calls of the Super Bowl Highlights.
It’s now been four days since the Seattle Seahawks defeated the San Francisco 49ers 23-17 to advance to the team’s second Super Bowl in franchise history. For the past few days, I’ve simply been repeating “we’re going to the Super Bowl!” out loud, with as much exuberance as when Russell Wilson took the final knee to run out the clock.
It’s gotten to the point that my dog understands I am saying something good; when she hears the words “Super Bowl” she will jump into my lap and cover me with face kisses. My dog is about 50 pounds, by the way. The emotions are still running high, but I believe I finally have collected myself well enough to recount what, to this point, is the greatest event I’ve ever been a part of.
Picks time! Yes, just hours before the games actually start, we’ve pulled through the laziness publishing our Wild Card Weekend predictions. Since there are less games to pick, we’ve even added score predictions, because we’re fancy. This weekend features seven very good teams, and the Chargers. That may be a bit of an overstatement–the Chargers actually have a higher DVOA than the Colts, thanks mostly to their #3 offensive DVOA, but their league-worst defense gives me some justification in saying that.
The point could also be made that the #21-by-DVOA Packers also deserve a snarky joke made at their expense, but I just can’t bring myself to make it. That ranking tells you what they did, which included eight games without Aaron Rodgers, who is arguably the best player in the entire NFL. They’re a different team with Rodgers, I’d contend that they’re even top-ten, so, congratulations, Wisconsin, I won’t be making fun of you this morning. To whom do I give my address to receive my cheese?
We’ve got the match-ups, one-by-one, in chronological order, even, after the jump.
The M’s on paper right now are about a .500 team, pending other additions by other clubs.
All this assumes that no surprise players emerge from the farm system, and that no other key contributors are added. Given who is left on the free agent market, it is also highly unlikely that other teams will add a player that substantially alters the current balance of MLB power.
And most of all, it assumes that no player overperforms or substantially underperforms. All projections assume a typically disappointing performance from disappointing players.
This assumes they don’t add a catcher, they give substantial reserve action to Jesus Sucre, and that Mike Zunino continues to struggle in his 2013-like like fashion at the plate (225/290/385 like).
This of course presumes Robinson Cano is the everyday 2B and produces (290/360/485).
This assumes Justin Smoak is once again the regular 1B and he continues to be maddeningly inconsistent at the plate (230/320/410).
This assumes Nick Franklin is not dealt and subs in at multiple spots off the bench (240/310/380). This also assumes Willie Bloomquist is his usual Bloomquist self subbing at multiple spots (260/305/345), and that Abraham Almonte is the 4th OF (250/320/370).
This assumes Brad Miller remains the SS and is somewhat productive at the plate as a regular (265/330/410), as is Kyle Seager at 3B (260/330/415).
This assumes LoMo and Corey Hart split duty in LF and DH, and are both somewhat productive over most of a full season (250/330/430 on aggregate).
This assumes Franklin Gutierrez is not productive, and/or gets hurt again.
This assumes Dustin Ackley is for the most part your regular CF, and continues in large part to hit balls right at fielders (250/325/365).
This assumes Michael Saunders is your everyday RF and like Smoak continues to be maddeningly inconsistent at the plate (230/315/380).
This assumes a rotation of Felix Hernandez, Hisashi Iwakuma, Erasmo Ramirez, Taijuan Walker and James Paxton, with about 150 IP from other guys as needed. It presumes Erasmo, Taijuan and Paxton might be 1.5 win pitchers with strictly monitored workloads that can each offer 140-150 IP.
This presumes Danny Farquhar closes and the key setup guys are Tom Wilhelmsen, Yoervis Medina and Charlie Furbush. It presumes Farquhar is the only pitcher worth one win or more out of the pen, meaning all the other relievers are anywhere from unremarkably effective to awful.
This presumes the team defense is about 5 to 10 runs below average.
Obviously, any of this not going according to the template changes the results.
The 2012 Orioles were projected to suck. The 2013 Pirates were not projected to contend. For a team to surprise, they have to be projected not to contend. The Mariners could outperform expectations and contend. They could lowball expectations and lose another 90 games. There is a lot of room for them to exceed expectations and blow people away.
Let’s hope the Mariners can surprise some people, in a good way, and become the big story of 2014.
Now that it’s the time of year for my biannual studying procrastination, I’m back writing the Picks post as well! But hey it’s my last finals week ever, so that’s nice. Anyways, you’re here to look at our NFL picks, because for some reason you care about our opinions.
|Matchup||Brett G.||Brett M.||Jordon||Dan||Steven|
|Chargers @ Broncos||Broncos||Broncos||Broncos||Broncos||Broncos|
|49ers @ Buccaneers||49ers||49ers||49ers||49ers||49ers|
|Seahawks @ Giants||Giants||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks||Seahawks|
|Saints @ Rams||Rams||Saints||Saints||Saints||Saints|
|Cardinals @ Titans||Cardinals||Cardinals||Cardinals||Cardinals||Cardinals|
|Redskins @ Falcons||Falcons||Falcons||Falcons||Falcons||Falcons|
|Bears @ Browns||Bears||Bears||Bears||Bears||Bears|
|Texans @ Colts||Colts||Colts||Colts||Colts||Colts|
|Patriots @ Dolphins||Dolphins||Patriots||Patriots||Dolphins||Dolphins|
|Eagles @ Vikings||Eagles||Eagles||Eagles||Eagles||Eagles|
|Bills @ Jaguars||Jaguars||Bills||Jaguars||Bills||Jaguars|
|Chiefs @ Raiders||Chiefs||Chiefs||Chiefs||Chiefs||Chiefs|
|Jets @ Panthers||Panthers||Panthers||Panthers||Panthers||Panthers|
|Packers @ Cowboys||Cowboys||Cowboys||Packers||Cowboys||Cowboys|
|Bengals @ Steelers||Bengals||Bengals||Bengals||Bengals||Bengals|
|Ravens @ Lions||Lions||Lions||Ravens||Lions||Lions|